YEARLY HIGH
3.5941 DJF
YEARLY LOW
3.2778 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3781 DJF

2018 PHP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PHP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 3.5941. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 3.2778.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3164 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5377 to the December average rate of 3.3722, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.5941 was down 1.23% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.6389, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 898,534 DJF
2017 Average 887,242 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 819,445 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 79,088.73 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.5614
3.2767
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4186, compared to 3.3376 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0810 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4186
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3376

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1212 DJF (High: 3.5941 / Low: 3.4729). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0335 DJF (High: 3.4100 / Low: 3.3765).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1212
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0335

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1146 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1146

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.5377) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.5926), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0549 (-1.53%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.5377
2017 Avg (January) 3.5926

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5941 3.4729 3.5377
February 3.4673 3.3842 3.4230
March 3.4100 3.3765 3.3978
April 3.4271 3.3718 3.3999
May 3.4308 3.3758 3.3997
June 3.3992 3.3197 3.3534
July 3.3591 3.3193 3.3348
August 3.3704 3.3253 3.3428
September 3.3301 3.2810 3.3004
October 3.3321 3.2778 3.3016
November 3.4123 3.3424 3.3738
December 3.4031 3.3449 3.3722