YEARLY HIGH
1.6221 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.2729 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4715 DJF

2018 PKR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PKR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 1.6221. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.2729.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3492 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6149 to the December average rate of 1.2806, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.6221 was down 5.96% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7249, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 500,000 PKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 811,051 DJF
2017 Average 849,059 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 636,458 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 174,593.21 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.6483
1.2471
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PKR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5600, compared to 1.3830 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1770 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5600
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3830

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.1174 DJF (High: 1.4494 / Low: 1.3321). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0069 DJF (High: 1.5325 / Low: 1.5256).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1174
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0724 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0724

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.6149) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.7078), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0930 (-5.44%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.6149
2017 Avg (January) 1.7078

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6221 1.6113 1.6149
February 1.6144 1.5974 1.6045
March 1.6032 1.5293 1.5759
April 1.5325 1.5256 1.5297
May 1.5398 1.5262 1.5356
June 1.5402 1.4622 1.4996
July 1.4653 1.3758 1.4295
August 1.4585 1.4344 1.4443
September 1.4480 1.4373 1.4436
October 1.4494 1.3321 1.3713
November 1.3383 1.3222 1.3289
December 1.3265 1.2729 1.2806