YEARLY HIGH
1.2860 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.0584 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1888 DJF

2019 PKR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the PKR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 1.2860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 1.0584.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2276 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2695 to the December average rate of 1.1491, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.2860 was down 20.72% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.6221, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 500,000 PKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 643,012 DJF
2018 Average 735,330 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 529,196 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 113,816.09 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.2938
1.1011
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PKR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2436, compared to 1.1339 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1097 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2436
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1339

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.2223 DJF (High: 1.2807 / Low: 1.0584). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 DJF (High: 1.1519 / Low: 1.1465).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2223
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0670 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0670

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 1.2778) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.6045), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3268 (-20.37%).

2019 Avg (February) 1.2778
2018 Avg (February) 1.6045

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2807 1.0584 1.2695
February 1.2860 1.2733 1.2778
March 1.2840 1.2640 1.2734
April 1.2687 1.2523 1.2577
May 1.2585 1.1691 1.2251
June 1.2166 1.0870 1.1581
July 1.1376 1.0971 1.1172
August 1.1338 1.1082 1.1175
September 1.1439 1.1320 1.1366
October 1.1446 1.1333 1.1392
November 1.1488 1.1398 1.1441
December 1.1519 1.1465 1.1491