YEARLY HIGH
34.6988 UGX
YEARLY LOW
31.5861 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.6364 UGX

2016 PKR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PKR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 34.6988. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 31.5861.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1127 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.8423 to the December average rate of 34.3628, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 34.6988 was down 1.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 35.3366, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 500,000 PKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,349,417 UGX
2015 Average 15,748,087 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 15,793,048 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,556,368.59 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

34.6079
31.6664
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PKR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 32.2886, compared to 32.9843 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6956 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 32.2886
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.9843

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.5836 UGX (High: 34.6431 / Low: 33.0595). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1962 UGX (High: 32.4618 / Low: 32.2655).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.5836
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1962

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6484 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6484

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 34.3628) against the same month in 2015 (average: 32.0807), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2820 (+7.11%).

2016 Avg (December) 34.3628
2015 Avg (December) 32.0807

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 33.1599 32.2262 32.8423
February 33.1842 32.0666 32.7624
March 32.2384 31.9141 32.1140
April 32.1831 31.5861 31.9115
May 32.3037 31.6482 31.9267
June 32.5958 31.9865 32.1748
July 32.4839 32.0831 32.2471
August 32.3293 32.1249 32.2109
September 32.4618 32.2655 32.3420
October 33.0403 32.3846 32.7797
November 34.6431 33.0595 33.9631
December 34.6988 33.9306 34.3628