YEARLY HIGH
33.1488 UGX
YEARLY LOW
26.4558 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
30.8173 UGX

2018 PKR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PKR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 12, valuing the pair at 33.1488. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 26.4558.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.6930 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.8904 to the December average rate of 26.7163, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 33.1488 was down 4.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 34.8860, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 500,000 PKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,574,394 UGX
2017 Average 17,173,404 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 13,227,909 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,346,485.48 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

33.5078
26.0989
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PKR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 32.4698, compared to 29.1647 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.3051 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 32.4698
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 29.1647

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 3.4083 UGX (High: 32.0598 / Low: 28.6515). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2086 UGX (High: 32.9919 / Low: 32.7832).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3.4083
January Spread (Stable) ±0.2086

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.1442 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1442

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 32.3247) against the same month in 2017 (average: 34.2875), the exchange rate shifted by -1.9628 (-5.72%).

2018 Avg (June) 32.3247
2017 Avg (June) 34.2875

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 32.9919 32.7832 32.8904
February 33.0981 32.8013 32.8864
March 33.0965 31.5512 32.5341
April 32.1094 31.8756 31.9657
May 32.6273 32.0660 32.2177
June 33.1488 31.7793 32.3247
July 32.0598 28.6515 30.1805
August 30.6498 29.7844 30.2612
September 31.0303 30.5828 30.8238
October 31.0453 28.1545 29.1080
November 28.1692 27.6886 27.8988
December 27.8692 26.4558 26.7163