YEARLY HIGH
16.4359 UGX
YEARLY LOW
12.1206 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.3745 UGX

2023 PKR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the PKR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 16.4359. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 6, dropping to 12.1206.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3153 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.8286 to the December average rate of 13.4094, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 16.4359 was down 18.96% compared to the 2022 peak of 20.2805, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 500,000 PKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,217,961 UGX
2022 Average 9,083,708 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,060,295 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,157,665.25 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

16.1569
12.2179
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PKR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.7054, compared to 13.0435 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6619 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.7054
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.0435

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 2.6736 UGX (High: 16.4359 / Low: 13.7623). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3163 UGX (High: 13.5878 / Low: 13.2715).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.6736
December Spread (Stable) ±0.3163

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.9322 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9322

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 15.8286) against the same month in 2022 (average: 19.9890), the exchange rate shifted by -4.1603 (-20.81%).

2023 Avg (January) 15.8286
2022 Avg (January) 19.9890

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.4359 13.7623 15.8286
February 14.8432 13.3258 13.8964
March 14.1925 13.1988 13.3411
April 13.3665 12.9305 13.1959
May 13.2399 12.5956 13.0444
June 13.1481 12.7927 12.9260
July 13.4615 12.6109 13.0060
August 12.9879 12.1956 12.5461
September 13.0925 12.1206 12.5670
October 13.6238 13.0392 13.4337
November 13.5775 13.1046 13.2988
December 13.5878 13.2715 13.4094