2016 RON to BGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4408 BGN

YEARLY LOW

0.4298 BGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4356 BGN

2016 RON to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RON to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 30, valuing the pair at 0.4408. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 0.4298.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0110 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4316 to the December average rate of 0.4330, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4408 was down 1.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4458, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,204 BGN

2015 Average 2,200 BGN

Yearly Trough Low 2,149 BGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 55.16 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4406

0.4308

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4351, compared to 0.4361 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4351

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4361

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0073 BGN (High: 0.4393 / Low: 0.4320). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 BGN (High: 0.4380 / Low: 0.4366).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0073

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0044 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0044

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 0.4397) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4423), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0025 (-0.58%).

2016 Avg (September) 0.4397

2015 Avg (September) 0.4423

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4330	0.4298	0.4316
February	0.4383	0.4318	0.4364
March	0.4387	0.4367	0.4379
April	0.4380	0.4366	0.4374
May	0.4370	0.4333	0.4347
June	0.4340	0.4308	0.4324
July	0.4393	0.4320	0.4361
August	0.4394	0.4374	0.4386
September	0.4408	0.4392	0.4397
October	0.4407	0.4337	0.4354
November	0.4355	0.4322	0.4338
December	0.4360	0.4305	0.4330