YEARLY HIGH
0.4241 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.4176 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4203 BGN

2018 RON to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 5, valuing the pair at 0.4241. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 14, dropping to 0.4176.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0065 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4205 to the December average rate of 0.4207, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4241 was down 2.71% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4359, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,121 BGN
2017 Average 2,140 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 2,088 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 32.62 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4214
0.4189
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4201, compared to 0.4204 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4201
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4204

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0050 BGN (High: 0.4241 / Low: 0.4191). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 BGN (High: 0.4198 / Low: 0.4178).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0050
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0020 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0020

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.4212) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4269), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0057 (-1.34%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.4212
2017 Avg (August) 0.4269

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4232 0.4184 0.4205
February 0.4217 0.4189 0.4200
March 0.4207 0.4180 0.4196
April 0.4222 0.4176 0.4197
May 0.4232 0.4182 0.4212
June 0.4213 0.4176 0.4194
July 0.4236 0.4190 0.4207
August 0.4241 0.4191 0.4212
September 0.4231 0.4196 0.4211
October 0.4198 0.4178 0.4191
November 0.4207 0.4185 0.4198
December 0.4239 0.4195 0.4207