YEARLY HIGH
0.4025 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.3931 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3975 BGN

2021 RON to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RON to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.4025. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 0.3931.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0095 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4015 to the December average rate of 0.3954, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.4025 was down 2.06% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.4110, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,013 BGN
2020 Average 2,022 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 1,965 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 47.34 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.4021
0.3944
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3991, compared to 0.3959 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0032 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3991
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3959

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0045 BGN (High: 0.4002 / Low: 0.3957). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 BGN (High: 0.3957 / Low: 0.3947).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0045
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0028 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0028

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.4015) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.4093), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0078 (-1.92%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.4015
2020 Avg (January) 0.4093

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4025 0.4003 0.4015
February 0.4019 0.3996 0.4011
March 0.4016 0.3980 0.4002
April 0.4002 0.3957 0.3975
May 0.3998 0.3963 0.3973
June 0.3978 0.3967 0.3972
July 0.3981 0.3961 0.3971
August 0.3985 0.3957 0.3973
September 0.3962 0.3931 0.3951
October 0.3959 0.3949 0.3953
November 0.3957 0.3947 0.3951
December 0.3966 0.3945 0.3954