2014 RSD to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4766 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.4170 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4518 GMD

2014 RSD to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RSD to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 6, valuing the pair at 0.4766. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 5, dropping to 0.4170.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0595 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4495 to the December average rate of 0.4368, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.4766 was up 4.45% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.4563, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,383 GMD

2013 Average 1,989 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 2,085 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 297.70 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.4751

0.4269

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4597, compared to 0.4440 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0157 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4597

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4440

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0425 GMD (High: 0.4596 / Low: 0.4170). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0061 GMD (High: 0.4705 / Low: 0.4644).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0425

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0061

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0198 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0198

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 0.4711) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.3914), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0797 (+20.36%).

2014 Avg (May) 0.4711

2013 Avg (May) 0.3914

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4558	0.4443	0.4495
February	0.4542	0.4438	0.4496
March	0.4602	0.4509	0.4556
April	0.4763	0.4521	0.4648
May	0.4766	0.4659	0.4711
June	0.4705	0.4644	0.4673
July	0.4680	0.4540	0.4616
August	0.4551	0.4425	0.4507
September	0.4446	0.4220	0.4309
October	0.4596	0.4170	0.4356
November	0.4547	0.4443	0.4483
December	0.4453	0.4285	0.4368