2016 RSD to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4009 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.3453 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3777 GMD

2016 RSD to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 0.4009. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 1, dropping to 0.3453.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0556 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3501 to the December average rate of 0.3659, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4009 was down 6.52% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4289, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,005 GMD

2015 Average 1,895 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 1,726 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 278.16 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3983

0.3457

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3750, compared to 0.3804 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0053 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3750

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3804

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0503 GMD (High: 0.3956 / Low: 0.3453). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0042 GMD (High: 0.3900 / Low: 0.3858).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0503

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0087 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0087

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.3931) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3984), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0053 (-1.32%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.3931

2015 Avg (May) 0.3984

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3533	0.3463	0.3501
February	0.3631	0.3486	0.3569
March	0.3956	0.3453	0.3674
April	0.3983	0.3904	0.3939
May	0.4009	0.3842	0.3931
June	0.3952	0.3814	0.3888
July	0.3864	0.3800	0.3833
August	0.3929	0.3835	0.3881
September	0.3900	0.3858	0.3878
October	0.3893	0.3767	0.3826
November	0.3858	0.3642	0.3746
December	0.3749	0.3587	0.3659