2012 RSD to HUF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0526 HUF

YEARLY LOW

2.3294 HUF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5672 HUF

2012 RSD to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RSD to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 3.0526. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 8, dropping to 2.3294.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7232 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9269 to the December average rate of 2.5257, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 3.0526 was down 2.21% compared to the 2011 peak of 3.1217, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,263 HUF

2011 Average 13,740 HUF

Yearly Trough Low 11,647 HUF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,615.88 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.9832

2.3077

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6724, compared to 2.4621 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2103 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6724

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4621

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.2863 HUF (High: 3.0526 / Low: 2.7663). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0600 HUF (High: 2.5036 / Low: 2.4436).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2863

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0600

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2360 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2360

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 2.9269) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.6238), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3031 (+11.55%).

2012 Avg (January) 2.9269

2011 Avg (January) 2.6238

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.0526	2.7663	2.9269
February	2.7930	2.6179	2.6909
March	2.6825	2.6158	2.6381
April	2.6983	2.5664	2.6452
May	2.6409	2.5418	2.5877
June	2.6170	2.4738	2.5455
July	2.5115	2.3730	2.4573
August	2.4071	2.3294	2.3640
September	2.4888	2.4031	2.4446
October	2.5036	2.4436	2.4764
November	2.5340	2.4687	2.5043
December	2.5956	2.4800	2.5257