2016 RSD to HUF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5995 HUF

YEARLY LOW

2.4697 HUF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5305 HUF

2016 RSD to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 2.5995. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 2.4697.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1298 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5641 to the December average rate of 2.5302, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.5995 was down 1.86% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.6487, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,997 HUF

2015 Average 12,839 HUF

Yearly Trough Low 12,348 HUF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 648.90 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.5710

2.4882

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5428, compared to 2.5181 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0247 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5428

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5181

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0707 HUF (High: 2.5995 / Low: 2.5287). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0177 HUF (High: 2.5256 / Low: 2.5080).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0707

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0177

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0384 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0384

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.5641) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.5801), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0160 (-0.62%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.5641

2015 Avg (January) 2.5801

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.5995	2.5287	2.5641
February	2.5543	2.4946	2.5257
March	2.5599	2.4998	2.5262
April	2.5556	2.5173	2.5379
May	2.5829	2.5335	2.5600
June	2.5682	2.5156	2.5429
July	2.5733	2.5226	2.5503
August	2.5256	2.5080	2.5178
September	2.5208	2.4775	2.5054
October	2.5146	2.4697	2.4951
November	2.5409	2.4828	2.5099
December	2.5627	2.5000	2.5302