2018 RSD to HUF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7972 HUF

YEARLY LOW

2.5891 HUF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.6961 HUF

2018 RSD to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 2, valuing the pair at 2.7972. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 2.5891.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2081 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6061 to the December average rate of 2.7282, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.7972 was up 5.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.6500, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,986 HUF

2017 Average 12,748 HUF

Yearly Trough Low 12,946 HUF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,040.33 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.7637

2.5918

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6559, compared to 2.7362 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0803 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6559

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7362

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0958 HUF (High: 2.7906 / Low: 2.6948). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0256 HUF (High: 2.7391 / Low: 2.7135).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0958

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0256

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0148 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 2.7493) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.5471), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2022 (+7.94%).

2018 Avg (July) 2.7493

2017 Avg (July) 2.5471

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.6265	2.5891	2.6061
February	2.6643	2.6057	2.6347
March	2.6637	2.6277	2.6419
April	2.6524	2.6262	2.6378
May	2.7169	2.6534	2.6814
June	2.7906	2.6948	2.7338
July	2.7972	2.7168	2.7493
August	2.7669	2.7094	2.7345
September	2.7759	2.7306	2.7460
October	2.7541	2.7191	2.7353
November	2.7526	2.7124	2.7242
December	2.7391	2.7135	2.7282