2012 RSD to NGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0066 NGN

YEARLY LOW

1.6247 NGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8114 NGN

2012 RSD to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RSD to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 2.0066. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 25, dropping to 1.6247.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3820 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9834 to the December average rate of 1.8190, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.0066 was down 14.10% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.3361, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,033 NGN

2011 Average 10,681 NGN

Yearly Trough Low 8,123 NGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,909.75 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.0148

1.6383

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8692, compared to 1.7536 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1156 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8692

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7536

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.1812 NGN (High: 1.8668 / Low: 1.6855). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0406 NGN (High: 1.8983 / Low: 1.8577).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1812

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0406

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0711 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0711

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 1.9398) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.0232), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0834 (-4.12%).

2012 Avg (February) 1.9398

2011 Avg (February) 2.0232

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0054	1.9549	1.9834
February	2.0066	1.9061	1.9398
March	1.8983	1.8577	1.8814
April	1.8916	1.8485	1.8604
May	1.8668	1.6855	1.7893
June	1.7949	1.6979	1.7612
July	1.7864	1.6247	1.7031
August	1.6906	1.6310	1.6697
September	1.7947	1.6792	1.7462
October	1.8477	1.7562	1.7933
November	1.8232	1.7711	1.7904
December	1.8462	1.7810	1.8190