YEARLY HIGH
3.5640 NGN
YEARLY LOW
2.8883 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4213 NGN

2019 RSD to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 3.5640. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 26, dropping to 2.8883.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6756 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5060 to the December average rate of 3.4282, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.5640 was down 6.48% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.8109, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,820 NGN
2018 Average 18,042 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 14,442 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,378.18 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.5234
3.3142
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4339, compared to 3.4087 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0252 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4339
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4087

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.5801 NGN (High: 3.4684 / Low: 2.8883). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0379 NGN (High: 3.4342 / Low: 3.3962).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.5801
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0379

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0855 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0855

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 3.5060) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.7048), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1988 (-5.37%).

2019 Avg (January) 3.5060
2018 Avg (January) 3.7048

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5640 3.4573 3.5060
February 3.4930 3.4467 3.4710
March 3.4913 3.4180 3.4486
April 3.4619 3.3943 3.4290
May 3.4342 3.3962 3.4171
June 3.4831 2.9202 3.3316
July 3.4702 3.3964 3.4330
August 3.4684 2.8883 3.3922
September 3.4125 3.3623 3.3871
October 3.4421 3.3659 3.4046
November 3.4431 3.3911 3.4072
December 3.4667 3.3941 3.4282