YEARLY HIGH
4.2980 NGN
YEARLY LOW
3.8079 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0567 NGN

2021 RSD to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RSD to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 25, valuing the pair at 4.2980. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 27, dropping to 3.8079.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4901 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0074 to the December average rate of 3.9536, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.2980 was up 5.05% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.0912, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,490 NGN
2020 Average 18,467 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 19,040 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,450.51 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.2444
3.8984
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0505, compared to 4.0628 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0123 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0505
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0628

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.4113 NGN (High: 4.2980 / Low: 3.8867). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0456 NGN (High: 4.0776 / Low: 4.0320).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4113
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0456

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0821 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0821

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 4.1747) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.6108), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5638 (+15.61%).

2021 Avg (May) 4.1747
2020 Avg (May) 3.6108

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1216 3.9066 4.0074
February 4.2514 3.8811 4.0094
March 4.1549 3.8079 3.9273
April 4.1897 3.8150 3.9689
May 4.2980 3.8867 4.1747
June 4.2805 4.1589 4.2155
July 4.1703 4.1180 4.1375
August 4.1653 4.0879 4.1203
September 4.1563 4.0468 4.1231
October 4.0776 4.0320 4.0573
November 4.0618 3.9124 3.9854
December 3.9878 3.9194 3.9536