2016 RSD to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0051 NPR

YEARLY LOW

0.9138 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9666 NPR

2016 RSD to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 1.0051. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.9138.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0913 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9541 to the December average rate of 0.9277, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0051 was down 1.54% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0208, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,025 NPR

2015 Average 4,719 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 4,569 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 456.35 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9930

0.9218

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9760, compared to 0.9572 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0188 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9760

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9572

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0435 NPR (High: 1.0051 / Low: 0.9616). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0106 NPR (High: 0.9781 / Low: 0.9674).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0435

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0106

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0202 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0202

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.9871) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9288), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0583 (+6.27%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.9871

2015 Avg (February) 0.9288

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9648	0.9428	0.9541
February	1.0051	0.9616	0.9871
March	0.9818	0.9533	0.9682
April	0.9914	0.9724	0.9820
May	0.9977	0.9663	0.9841
June	0.9937	0.9676	0.9806
July	0.9734	0.9567	0.9651
August	0.9848	0.9623	0.9739
September	0.9781	0.9674	0.9719
October	0.9715	0.9448	0.9569
November	0.9651	0.9382	0.9480
December	0.9468	0.9138	0.9277