YEARLY HIGH
1.1619 NPR
YEARLY LOW
1.0237 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0914 NPR

2018 RSD to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.1619. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 1.0237.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1382 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0473 to the December average rate of 1.0873, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.1619 was up 11.46% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0424, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,809 NPR
2017 Average 4,853 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 5,118 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 691.18 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.1518
1.0377
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0751, compared to 1.1077 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0325 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0751
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1077

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0657 NPR (High: 1.1335 / Low: 1.0678). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0140 NPR (High: 1.0928 / Low: 1.0788).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0657
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0140

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0376 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0376

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 1.1423) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.0262), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1161 (+11.31%).

2018 Avg (October) 1.1423
2017 Avg (October) 1.0262

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0643 1.0237 1.0473
February 1.0863 1.0617 1.0749
March 1.0928 1.0788 1.0855
April 1.1018 1.0769 1.0910
May 1.0917 1.0614 1.0801
June 1.0849 1.0596 1.0721
July 1.0973 1.0814 1.0885
August 1.1186 1.0654 1.0875
September 1.1559 1.1138 1.1356
October 1.1619 1.1250 1.1423
November 1.1335 1.0678 1.1048
December 1.1073 1.0720 1.0873