2014 RUB to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.1218 ALL

YEARLY LOW

1.6362 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.7845 ALL

2014 RUB to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RUB to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 3.1218. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 1.6362.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4856 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0633 to the December average rate of 2.0320, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 3.1218 was down 11.59% compared to the 2013 peak of 3.5311, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,609 ALL

2013 Average 16,603 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 8,181 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,428.13 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

3.1664

1.9289

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.9252, compared to 2.6438 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2814 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.9252

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6438

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.5939 ALL (High: 2.2302 / Low: 1.6362). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0688 ALL (High: 2.9283 / Low: 2.8596).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.5939

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0688

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3843 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3843

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 3.0633) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.4737), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4104 (-11.81%).

2014 Avg (January) 3.0633

2013 Avg (January) 3.4737

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.1218	2.9435	3.0633
February	2.9810	2.8242	2.9175
March	2.8908	2.7588	2.8075
April	2.8926	2.8012	2.8424
May	3.0069	2.8201	2.9231
June	3.0546	2.9300	2.9974
July	3.0286	2.9072	2.9752
August	2.9283	2.8596	2.8904
September	2.9323	2.7967	2.8571
October	2.7951	2.5556	2.6919
November	2.5695	2.2519	2.4163
December	2.2302	1.6362	2.0320