2016 RUB to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1340 ALL

YEARLY LOW

1.5421 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8609 ALL

2016 RUB to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 2.1340. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 11, dropping to 1.5421.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5919 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6617 to the December average rate of 2.0682, the exchange rate registered a net change of 24.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.1340 was down 19.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.6357, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,670 ALL

2015 Average 10,395 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 7,710 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,959.47 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.1134

1.5705

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7727, compared to 1.9491 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1764 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7727

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9491

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1929 ALL (High: 1.7384 / Low: 1.5455). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0604 ALL (High: 1.8971 / Low: 1.8367).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1929

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0604

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0460 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0460

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2.0682) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.8047), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2635 (+14.60%).

2016 Avg (December) 2.0682

2015 Avg (December) 1.8047

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7384	1.5455	1.6617
February	1.6837	1.5421	1.6157
March	1.8214	1.7207	1.7781
April	1.8794	1.7796	1.8370
May	1.8922	1.8068	1.8561
June	1.9395	1.8501	1.8878
July	1.9605	1.8491	1.9173
August	1.8971	1.8367	1.8797
September	1.9446	1.8682	1.8982
October	2.0105	1.9422	1.9790
November	2.0014	1.9042	1.9522
December	2.1340	1.9842	2.0682