YEARLY HIGH
1.9641 ALL
YEARLY LOW
1.5457 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7281 ALL

2018 RUB to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 1.9641. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 1.5457.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4184 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9320 to the December average rate of 1.6058, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.9641 was down 13.73% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.2768, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,821 ALL
2017 Average 10,208 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 7,729 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,092.03 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.9646
1.5731
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8108, compared to 1.6453 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1655 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8108
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6453

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.1964 ALL (High: 1.8604 / Low: 1.6640). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0383 ALL (High: 1.7415 / Low: 1.7032).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1964
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0383

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1265 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1265

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.9320) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.1424), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2105 (-9.82%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.9320
2017 Avg (January) 2.1424

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.9641 1.9071 1.9320
February 1.9258 1.8647 1.8904
March 1.9028 1.8265 1.8622
April 1.8604 1.6640 1.7357
May 1.7686 1.6755 1.7232
June 1.7415 1.7032 1.7213
July 1.7366 1.6897 1.7155
August 1.7124 1.5840 1.6409
September 1.6597 1.5495 1.6070
October 1.6823 1.6260 1.6548
November 1.6698 1.6198 1.6479
December 1.6468 1.5457 1.6058