YEARLY HIGH
0.3860 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.2736 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3416 HNL

2016 RUB to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.3860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.2736.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1124 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2933 to the December average rate of 0.3761, the exchange rate registered a net change of 28.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3860 was down 13.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4463, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,930 HNL
2015 Average 1,790 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 1,368 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 562.06 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3845
0.2841
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3233, compared to 0.3598 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0364 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3233
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3598

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0319 HNL (High: 0.3055 / Low: 0.2736). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0091 HNL (High: 0.3687 / Low: 0.3597).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0319
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0091

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0082 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0082

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.3761) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3126), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0636 (+20.34%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.3761
2015 Avg (December) 0.3126

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3055 0.2736 0.2933
February 0.2999 0.2833 0.2924
March 0.3363 0.3068 0.3237
April 0.3480 0.3299 0.3390
May 0.3481 0.3373 0.3427
June 0.3574 0.3381 0.3489
July 0.3633 0.3417 0.3540
August 0.3578 0.3407 0.3524
September 0.3634 0.3475 0.3543
October 0.3687 0.3597 0.3650
November 0.3622 0.3501 0.3568
December 0.3860 0.3613 0.3761