YEARLY HIGH
0.4249 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.3404 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3823 HNL

2018 RUB to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 0.4249. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 0.3404.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0845 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4170 to the December average rate of 0.3590, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4249 was up 1.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4194, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,125 HNL
2017 Average 2,013 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 1,702 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 422.57 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4232
0.3498
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3998, compared to 0.3648 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0350 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3998
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3648

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0380 HNL (High: 0.4138 / Low: 0.3758). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0096 HNL (High: 0.4183 / Low: 0.4087).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0380
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0096

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0237 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0237

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.4151) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4030), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0120 (+2.99%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.4151
2017 Avg (February) 0.4030

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4219 0.4096 0.4170
February 0.4249 0.4031 0.4151
March 0.4183 0.4087 0.4136
April 0.4138 0.3758 0.3899
May 0.3891 0.3709 0.3815
June 0.3880 0.3760 0.3818
July 0.3880 0.3772 0.3816
August 0.3813 0.3518 0.3617
September 0.3673 0.3404 0.3560
October 0.3707 0.3593 0.3656
November 0.3712 0.3555 0.3649
December 0.3679 0.3423 0.3590