YEARLY HIGH
0.3727 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.2431 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2921 HNL

2023 RUB to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RUB to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 0.3727. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 7, dropping to 0.2431.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1296 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3527 to the December average rate of 0.2714, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 0.3727 was down 20.34% compared to the 2022 peak of 0.4679, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,864 HNL
2022 Average 1,826 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 1,215 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 648.06 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

0.3625
0.2449
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3203, compared to 0.2639 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0564 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3203
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2639

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 0.0376 HNL (High: 0.3727 / Low: 0.3351). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0099 HNL (High: 0.2617 / Low: 0.2518).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0376
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0099

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0242 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0242

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 0.3527) against the same month in 2022 (average: 0.3203), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0324 (+10.12%).

2023 Avg (January) 0.3527
2022 Avg (January) 0.3203

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3727 0.3351 0.3527
February 0.3527 0.3241 0.3355
March 0.3288 0.3159 0.3227
April 0.3181 0.2999 0.3036
May 0.3237 0.3032 0.3112
June 0.3063 0.2783 0.2960
July 0.2783 0.2663 0.2718
August 0.2665 0.2460 0.2570
September 0.2617 0.2518 0.2561
October 0.2661 0.2431 0.2547
November 0.2800 0.2638 0.2725
December 0.2794 0.2663 0.2714