YEARLY HIGH
59.8994 UGX
YEARLY LOW
42.1700 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
51.2629 UGX

2016 RUB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 59.8994. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 42.1700.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.7294 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 45.0355 to the December average rate of 58.0558, the exchange rate registered a net change of 28.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 59.8994 was down 2.58% compared to the 2015 peak of 61.4877, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 299,497 UGX
2015 Average 266,126 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 210,850 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 88,647.02 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

59.4208
43.0406
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.3738, compared to 54.1520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.7782 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.3738
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 54.1520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 4.7952 UGX (High: 50.1829 / Low: 45.3877). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5975 UGX (High: 51.4932 / Low: 49.8957).

March Spread (Volatile) ±4.7952
May Spread (Stable) ±1.5975

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6298 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6298

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 58.0558) against the same month in 2015 (average: 48.0008), the exchange rate shifted by +10.0550 (+20.95%).

2016 Avg (December) 58.0558
2015 Avg (December) 48.0008

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 46.3892 42.1700 45.0355
February 45.3528 43.3783 44.4056
March 50.1829 45.3877 48.1383
April 51.5137 49.1191 50.2000
May 51.4932 49.8957 50.7319
June 53.3720 50.2468 51.7316
July 53.6170 50.7805 52.5225
August 52.8451 50.5792 51.9836
September 53.8260 51.3057 52.4288
October 55.4164 53.7235 54.7763
November 56.5834 53.6643 55.1449
December 59.8994 56.5481 58.0558