YEARLY HIGH
65.4300 UGX
YEARLY LOW
53.4071 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
59.5669 UGX

2018 RUB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 65.4300. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 53.4071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.0230 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 64.2390 to the December average rate of 54.9557, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 65.4300 was up 0.70% compared to the 2017 peak of 64.9742, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 327,150 UGX
2017 Average 310,210 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 267,035 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 60,114.76 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

65.1673
54.0273
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 62.3454, compared to 56.7885 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.5570 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 62.3454
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 56.7885

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 5.9342 UGX (High: 64.5864 / Low: 58.6522). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5303 UGX (High: 64.6040 / Low: 63.0737).

April Spread (Volatile) ±5.9342
March Spread (Stable) ±1.5303

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 3.5811 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5811

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 64.0100) against the same month in 2017 (average: 61.4094), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6005 (+4.23%).

2018 Avg (February) 64.0100
2017 Avg (February) 61.4094

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 65.0251 63.0638 64.2390
February 65.4300 62.3220 64.0100
March 64.6040 63.0737 63.9848
April 64.5864 58.6522 60.8882
May 61.0057 58.1973 59.8055
June 62.0677 60.4272 61.1451
July 61.9304 58.3875 59.7697
August 58.6052 54.6739 56.1886
September 58.3423 53.5560 56.2778
October 58.8665 56.5807 57.3640
November 56.9424 55.0432 56.1750
December 56.2531 53.4071 54.9557