YEARLY HIGH
55.4167 UGX
YEARLY LOW
36.1885 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
44.0924 UGX

2023 RUB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RUB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 55.4167. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 36.1885.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.2282 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 52.7899 to the December average rate of 41.5366, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 55.4167 was down 22.58% compared to the 2022 peak of 71.5767, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 277,083 UGX
2022 Average 274,793 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 180,942 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 96,141.12 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

54.2264
36.9884
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.2779, compared to 39.9069 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.3711 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.2779
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.9069

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 5.1457 UGX (High: 46.4638 / Low: 41.3181). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3163 UGX (High: 39.2729 / Low: 37.9566).

June Spread (Volatile) ±5.1457
September Spread (Stable) ±1.3163

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.0360 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.0360

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 52.7899) against the same month in 2022 (average: 46.1093), the exchange rate shifted by +6.6806 (+14.49%).

2023 Avg (January) 52.7899
2022 Avg (January) 46.1093

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 55.4167 50.4779 52.7899
February 52.6917 48.9079 50.1748
March 49.6143 47.9931 48.9475
April 48.5280 45.5228 46.2215
May 48.8771 46.2105 47.0886
June 46.4638 41.3181 44.4454
July 41.4583 39.1115 40.4094
August 39.8646 36.1885 38.4249
September 39.2729 37.9566 38.6543
October 40.5480 36.9144 38.6950
November 43.0373 40.5098 41.7209
December 42.8260 40.4612 41.5366