YEARLY HIGH
13.1682 KES
YEARLY LOW
12.4439 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.8287 KES

2016 SBD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SBD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 13.1682. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 12.4439.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7243 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.5697 to the December average rate of 12.9492, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.1682 was down 1.26% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.3363, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,841 KES
2015 Average 62,469 KES
Yearly Trough Low 62,219 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,621.74 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

12.9999
12.5093
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SBD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.7490, compared to 12.9084 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1594 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.7490
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.9084

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.4478 KES (High: 12.9005 / Low: 12.4527). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1201 KES (High: 12.9843 / Low: 12.8642).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4478
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1201

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1195 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1195

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 12.9492) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.6203), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3289 (+2.61%).

2016 Avg (December) 12.9492
2015 Avg (December) 12.6203

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.6759 12.4439 12.5697
February 12.5998 12.4750 12.5502
March 12.9005 12.4527 12.7290
April 12.9676 12.6310 12.7676
May 13.0169 12.8728 12.9198
June 12.9875 12.7568 12.9580
July 12.9144 12.7440 12.8385
August 13.0410 12.8813 12.9590
September 13.0164 12.8096 12.9168
October 12.9843 12.8642 12.9205
November 13.0057 12.7268 12.8666
December 13.1682 12.7380 12.9492