2012 SCR to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0609 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.0523 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0573 AZN

2012 SCR to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 8, valuing the pair at 0.0609. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 22, dropping to 0.0523.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0086 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0566 to the December average rate of 0.0600, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.0609 was down 7.25% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.0657, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 305 AZN

2011 Average 317 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 262 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 43.09 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.0610

0.0534

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0558, compared to 0.0589 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0031 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0558

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0589

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 0.0047 AZN (High: 0.0604 / Low: 0.0558). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 AZN (High: 0.0601 / Low: 0.0597).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0047

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2012: 0.0604) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.0639), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0035 (-5.50%).

2012 Avg (September) 0.0604

2011 Avg (September) 0.0639

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0590	0.0553	0.0566
February	0.0569	0.0548	0.0561
March	0.0575	0.0550	0.0558
April	0.0570	0.0548	0.0560
May	0.0568	0.0538	0.0556
June	0.0557	0.0534	0.0544
July	0.0559	0.0523	0.0540
August	0.0604	0.0558	0.0593
September	0.0609	0.0600	0.0604
October	0.0604	0.0595	0.0599
November	0.0602	0.0595	0.0598
December	0.0601	0.0597	0.0600