2016 SCR to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1364 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.1073 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1209 AZN

2016 SCR to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.1364. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 28, dropping to 0.1073.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0290 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1211 to the December average rate of 0.1324, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1364 was up 12.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1213, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 682 AZN

2015 Average 385 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 537 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 145.20 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1343

0.1107

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1171, compared to 0.1247 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0076 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1171

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1247

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0135 AZN (High: 0.1275 / Low: 0.1140). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0040 AZN (High: 0.1258 / Low: 0.1218).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0135

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0040

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0086 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0086

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.1324) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0922), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0402 (+43.59%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.1324

2015 Avg (December) 0.0922

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1250	0.1175	0.1211
February	0.1227	0.1100	0.1181
March	0.1275	0.1140	0.1215
April	0.1175	0.1073	0.1129
May	0.1144	0.1091	0.1126
June	0.1224	0.1121	0.1162
July	0.1223	0.1153	0.1191
August	0.1259	0.1200	0.1227
September	0.1258	0.1218	0.1241
October	0.1247	0.1202	0.1221
November	0.1309	0.1244	0.1279
December	0.1364	0.1298	0.1324