2014 SCR to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0658 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.0550 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0619 AZN

2014 SCR to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 28, valuing the pair at 0.0658. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 8, dropping to 0.0550.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0108 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0650 to the December average rate of 0.0561, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.0658 was down 2.64% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.0676, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 329 AZN

2013 Average 325 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 275 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 53.80 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.0659

0.0543

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0646, compared to 0.0592 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0054 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0646

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0592

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0044 AZN (High: 0.0597 / Low: 0.0552). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 AZN (High: 0.0639 / Low: 0.0635).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0044

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0024 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0024

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 0.0649) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.0670), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0021 (-3.06%).

2014 Avg (April) 0.0649

2013 Avg (April) 0.0670

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0653	0.0644	0.0650
February	0.0650	0.0640	0.0646
March	0.0653	0.0642	0.0646
April	0.0658	0.0638	0.0649
May	0.0655	0.0626	0.0643
June	0.0647	0.0634	0.0639
July	0.0639	0.0635	0.0637
August	0.0638	0.0604	0.0624
September	0.0605	0.0594	0.0599
October	0.0597	0.0552	0.0576
November	0.0555	0.0550	0.0553
December	0.0589	0.0551	0.0561