2012 SCR to BGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1226 BGN

YEARLY LOW

0.1028 BGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1111 BGN

2012 SCR to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 10, valuing the pair at 0.1226. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 3, dropping to 0.1028.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0199 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1093 to the December average rate of 0.1139, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1226 was up 1.35% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1210, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 613 BGN

2011 Average 565 BGN

Yearly Trough Low 514 BGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 99.39 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.1205

0.1038

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1071, compared to 0.1151 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0080 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1071

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1151

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0097 BGN (High: 0.1146 / Low: 0.1049). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0028 BGN (High: 0.1164 / Low: 0.1136).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0097

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0036 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0036

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 0.1191) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1114), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0078 (+6.96%).

2012 Avg (August) 0.1191

2011 Avg (August) 0.1114

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1146	0.1049	0.1093
February	0.1080	0.1033	0.1057
March	0.1085	0.1028	0.1052
April	0.1082	0.1028	0.1061
May	0.1103	0.1045	0.1080
June	0.1111	0.1064	0.1083
July	0.1149	0.1063	0.1095
August	0.1226	0.1131	0.1191
September	0.1201	0.1147	0.1170
October	0.1164	0.1136	0.1151
November	0.1180	0.1144	0.1162
December	0.1159	0.1126	0.1139