2019 SCR to BGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1407 BGN

YEARLY LOW

0.1241 BGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1278 BGN

2019 SCR to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 0.1407. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 0.1241.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0166 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1255 to the December average rate of 0.1285, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.1407 was up 10.16% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.1277, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 704 BGN

2018 Average 609 BGN

Yearly Trough Low 621 BGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 82.97 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.1301

0.1251

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1266, compared to 0.1289 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0023 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1266

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1289

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0145 BGN (High: 0.1407 / Low: 0.1262). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0015 BGN (High: 0.1287 / Low: 0.1272).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0145

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0015

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 0.1294) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.1247), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0047 (+3.77%).

2019 Avg (August) 0.1294

2018 Avg (August) 0.1247

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1268	0.1241	0.1255
February	0.1270	0.1247	0.1260
March	0.1277	0.1246	0.1264
April	0.1283	0.1260	0.1272
May	0.1287	0.1272	0.1278
June	0.1280	0.1256	0.1267
July	0.1291	0.1254	0.1276
August	0.1407	0.1262	0.1294
September	0.1308	0.1285	0.1297
October	0.1308	0.1276	0.1290
November	0.1357	0.1262	0.1293
December	0.1297	0.1273	0.1285