2014 SCR to BGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1208 BGN

YEARLY LOW

0.1091 BGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1161 BGN

2014 SCR to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 0.1208. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 30, dropping to 0.1091.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0117 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1190 to the December average rate of 0.1136, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.1208 was down 7.54% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.1306, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 604 BGN

2013 Average 611 BGN

Yearly Trough Low 545 BGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 58.45 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.1199

0.1098

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1176, compared to 0.1147 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1176

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1147

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0103 BGN (High: 0.1208 / Low: 0.1104). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0013 BGN (High: 0.1113 / Low: 0.1100).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0103

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0028 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0028

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 0.1136) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.1185), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0048 (-4.09%).

2014 Avg (December) 0.1136

2013 Avg (December) 0.1185

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1201	0.1177	0.1190
February	0.1196	0.1173	0.1182
March	0.1185	0.1151	0.1166
April	0.1191	0.1151	0.1173
May	0.1196	0.1141	0.1168
June	0.1186	0.1159	0.1173
July	0.1184	0.1158	0.1174
August	0.1191	0.1145	0.1169
September	0.1178	0.1146	0.1161
October	0.1184	0.1091	0.1134
November	0.1113	0.1100	0.1106
December	0.1208	0.1104	0.1136