YEARLY HIGH
0.1964 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.1705 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1825 GEL

2018 SCR to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 0.1964. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 0.1705.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0259 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1839 to the December average rate of 0.1947, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1964 was down 5.48% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2078, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 982 GEL
2017 Average 920 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 852 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 129.57 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1962
0.1778
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1814, compared to 0.1836 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0022 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1814
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1836

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0165 GEL (High: 0.1955 / Low: 0.1790). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 GEL (High: 0.1810 / Low: 0.1802).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0165
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0032 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.1947) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1884), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0063 (+3.34%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.1947
2017 Avg (December) 0.1884

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1888 0.1781 0.1839
February 0.1856 0.1759 0.1807
March 0.1827 0.1737 0.1794
April 0.1834 0.1764 0.1809
May 0.1843 0.1738 0.1819
June 0.1835 0.1810 0.1817
July 0.1810 0.1802 0.1807
August 0.1827 0.1800 0.1816
September 0.1827 0.1705 0.1800
October 0.1805 0.1762 0.1794
November 0.1955 0.1790 0.1854
December 0.1964 0.1912 0.1947