2012 SCR to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5986 GMD

YEARLY LOW

2.0271 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2712 GMD

2012 SCR to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 5, valuing the pair at 2.5986. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 3, dropping to 2.0271.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5716 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1359 to the December average rate of 2.3711, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.5986 was up 5.49% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.4633, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,993 GMD

2011 Average 11,320 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 10,135 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,857.90 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.6000

2.0657

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1443, compared to 2.3981 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2538 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1443

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3981

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 0.3263 GMD (High: 2.5986 / Low: 2.2723). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0770 GMD (High: 2.5896 / Low: 2.5125).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3263

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0770

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1987 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1987

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2012: 2.3568) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.2880), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0688 (+3.01%).

2012 Avg (November) 2.3568

2011 Avg (November) 2.2880

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1756	2.0908	2.1359
February	2.2003	2.0857	2.1668
March	2.2529	2.1020	2.1646
April	2.1837	2.0271	2.1102
May	2.2015	2.0953	2.1482
June	2.2118	2.1003	2.1399
July	2.2624	2.1064	2.1635
August	2.5672	2.2469	2.4019
September	2.5896	2.5125	2.5399
October	2.5981	2.5098	2.5555
November	2.5986	2.2723	2.3568
December	2.4804	2.2774	2.3711