2013 SCR to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.1734 GMD

YEARLY LOW

2.4771 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.8045 GMD

2013 SCR to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 3.1734. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 2.4771.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6963 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5683 to the December average rate of 3.1447, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 3.1734 was up 22.12% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.5986, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,867 GMD

2012 Average 11,358 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 12,385 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,481.63 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

3.2023

2.5107

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7891, compared to 2.8200 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0309 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7891

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.8200

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was November, with a trading range of 0.4888 GMD (High: 3.1642 / Low: 2.6754). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0505 GMD (High: 2.7376 / Low: 2.6870).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4888

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0505

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2970 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2970

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 3.1447) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.3711), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7736 (+32.63%).

2013 Avg (December) 3.1447

2012 Avg (December) 2.3711

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.6614	2.4771	2.5683
February	2.7169	2.5917	2.6441
March	2.8991	2.6939	2.8110
April	2.8671	2.7997	2.8266
May	2.9813	2.7742	2.8391
June	3.0945	2.8678	3.0453
July	3.0258	2.6947	2.7483
August	2.9143	2.7060	2.7397
September	2.7376	2.6870	2.7110
October	2.7413	2.6764	2.7105
November	3.1642	2.6754	2.8658
December	3.1734	3.1050	3.1447