2014 SCR to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1010.2458 IDR

YEARLY LOW

850.1416 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

934.9695 IDR

2014 SCR to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 1010.2458. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 2, dropping to 850.1416.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 160.1042 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1003.7347 to the December average rate of 889.8024, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1010.2458 was down 0.22% compared to the 2013 peak of 1012.4962, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,051,229 IDR

2013 Average 4,324,071 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 4,250,708 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 800,521.25 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1018.3292

843.1956

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 964.8168, compared to 905.1221 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 59.6947 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 964.8168

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 905.1221

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 75.4620 IDR (High: 928.6345 / Low: 853.1725). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 13.7022 IDR (High: 863.8438 / Low: 850.1416).

October Spread (Volatile) ±75.4620

November Spread (Stable) ±13.7022

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 40.2600 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -40.2600

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1003.7347) against the same month in 2013 (average: 741.7841), the exchange rate shifted by +261.9506 (+35.31%).

2014 Avg (January) 1003.7347

2013 Avg (January) 741.7841

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1010.2458	994.2796	1003.7347
February	1005.1464	960.8462	982.0000
March	961.7414	926.2747	941.7400
April	970.9202	932.9707	946.5171
May	966.0641	916.6336	945.3364
June	980.4581	956.0331	969.5727
July	969.0254	937.6880	948.5582
August	958.3338	900.8743	932.4481
September	926.4399	899.2494	910.1316
October	928.6345	853.1725	892.0024
November	863.8438	850.1416	857.7901
December	933.5371	864.9334	889.8024