2016 SCR to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1086.1783 IDR

YEARLY LOW

933.8243 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1002.9066 IDR

2016 SCR to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 1086.1783. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 14, dropping to 933.8243.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 152.3540 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1060.7251 to the December average rate of 1001.9086, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1086.1783 was down 5.60% compared to the 2015 peak of 1150.5763, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,430,892 IDR

2015 Average 5,041,038 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 4,669,122 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 761,769.97 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1068.7332

972.6357

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1011.7170, compared to 994.0962 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 17.6208 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1011.7170

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 994.0962

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 112.8248 IDR (High: 1052.6574 / Low: 939.8326). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 25.3918 IDR (High: 997.3721 / Low: 971.9803).

February Spread (Volatile) ±112.8248

October Spread (Stable) ±25.3918

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 50.8371 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -50.8371

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1060.7251) against the same month in 2015 (average: 903.5458), the exchange rate shifted by +157.1793 (+17.40%).

2016 Avg (January) 1060.7251

2015 Avg (January) 903.5458

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1086.1783	1006.1467	1060.7251
February	1052.6574	939.8326	1009.8880
March	1013.0901	974.6525	990.7844
April	1032.7356	933.8243	980.6438
May	1045.5843	966.2735	1007.9792
June	1048.6426	991.1573	1020.2816
July	1027.3547	975.2921	996.8821
August	1010.7197	974.0557	994.1279
September	1012.8255	968.5823	990.3712
October	997.3721	971.9803	983.1025
November	1023.3800	972.8268	998.1847
December	1020.9099	989.3289	1001.9086