YEARLY HIGH
5.4578 INR
YEARLY LOW
4.4876 INR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0230 INR

2018 SCR to INR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to INR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 5.4578. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 4.4876.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9702 INR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5751 to the December average rate of 5.1735, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.4578 was up 3.72% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.2619, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,289 INR
2017 Average 23,974 INR
Yearly Trough Low 22,438 INR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,851.07 INR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.4778
4.4930
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to INR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8290, compared to 5.2170 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3880 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8290
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2170

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.2957 INR (High: 5.3551 / Low: 5.0595). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0512 INR (High: 5.0955 / Low: 5.0443).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2957
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0512

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1333 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1333

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 5.3957) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.7500), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6457 (+13.59%).

2018 Avg (October) 5.3957
2017 Avg (October) 4.7500

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6679 4.4876 4.5751
February 4.8466 4.5636 4.7346
March 4.8398 4.6021 4.7674
April 4.9734 4.7378 4.8741
May 5.0740 4.8230 5.0053
June 5.0906 4.9677 5.0172
July 5.0955 5.0443 5.0697
August 5.2216 5.0313 5.1169
September 5.3551 5.0595 5.2835
October 5.4578 5.2945 5.3957
November 5.3761 5.1113 5.2625
December 5.3165 5.0315 5.1735