2011 SCR to NGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.0247 NGN

YEARLY LOW

11.8602 NGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.5251 NGN

2011 SCR to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 13.0247. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 11.8602.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1645 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.2836 to the December average rate of 12.1785, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 13.0247 was down 5.37% compared to the 2010 peak of 13.7643, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,124 NGN

2010 Average 62,295 NGN

Yearly Trough Low 59,301 NGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,822.68 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

12.8195

12.1202

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.5377, compared to 12.5124 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0253 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.5377

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.5124

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.7480 NGN (High: 12.9578 / Low: 12.2098). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4171 NGN (High: 12.5116 / Low: 12.0945).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.7480

January Spread (Stable) ±0.4171

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3154 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3154

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 12.7612) against the same month in 2010 (average: 12.3845), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3767 (+3.04%).

2011 Avg (October) 12.7612

2010 Avg (October) 12.3845

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.5116	12.0945	12.2836
February	12.6605	12.2293	12.4129
March	12.8578	12.3374	12.5990
April	12.7932	12.3625	12.6289
May	12.9484	12.3998	12.6095
June	12.9578	12.2098	12.6926
July	12.6435	12.1105	12.4544
August	12.8030	12.2202	12.5358
September	12.9810	12.4090	12.6988
October	13.0247	12.4394	12.7612
November	12.6607	12.1767	12.4458
December	12.5692	11.8602	12.1785