2014 SCR to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

93.9937 SOS

YEARLY LOW

50.2996 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

72.3252 SOS

2014 SCR to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 93.9937. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 50.2996.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 43.6941 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 91.5523 to the December average rate of 52.2542, the exchange rate registered a net change of -42.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 93.9937 was down 31.71% compared to the 2013 peak of 137.6400, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 469,969 SOS

2013 Average 581,980 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 251,498 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 218,470.49 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

95.4821

48.3244

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 83.4255, compared to 61.2249 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 22.2006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 83.4255

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 61.2249

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 6.1031 SOS (High: 64.9059 / Low: 58.8028). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.7234 SOS (High: 82.1527 / Low: 79.4294).

September Spread (Volatile) ±6.1031

April Spread (Stable) ±2.7234

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 6.1267 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.1267

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 91.5523) against the same month in 2013 (average: 122.8574), the exchange rate shifted by -31.3051 (-25.48%).

2014 Avg (January) 91.5523

2013 Avg (January) 122.8574

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	93.9937	88.9610	91.5523
February	89.7125	86.4511	88.0997
March	86.6836	81.9983	83.8467
April	82.1527	79.4294	81.2153
May	81.4662	77.4707	79.5312
June	78.4481	74.4724	76.3079
July	74.9761	68.9286	73.2713
August	69.3520	64.6854	67.1445
September	64.9059	58.8028	62.7865
October	59.5438	55.0975	57.2520
November	55.6475	52.6723	54.6410
December	54.4101	50.2996	52.2542