2016 SCR to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

48.4297 SOS

YEARLY LOW

41.2765 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

44.7405 SOS

2016 SCR to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 48.4297. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 41.2765.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.1532 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 47.3348 to the December average rate of 42.7966, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 48.4297 was down 11.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 54.8544, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 242,149 SOS

2015 Average 253,224 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 206,383 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 35,765.92 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

47.7886

42.3428

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 45.8107, compared to 43.6704 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1404 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 45.8107

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 43.6704

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 5.3502 SOS (High: 48.0572 / Low: 42.7070). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9081 SOS (High: 44.5174 / Low: 43.6093).

February Spread (Volatile) ±5.3502

September Spread (Stable) ±0.9081

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.5503 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5503

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 47.3348) against the same month in 2015 (average: 51.4301), the exchange rate shifted by -4.0954 (-7.96%).

2016 Avg (January) 47.3348

2015 Avg (January) 51.4301

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	48.4297	45.0224	47.3348
February	48.0572	42.7070	45.7844
March	47.3159	45.2489	46.0748
April	47.4747	43.1208	45.4139
May	46.2582	44.0211	45.3429
June	46.2925	43.5141	44.9135
July	45.2931	43.2468	44.2604
August	44.7062	43.1445	44.0027
September	44.5174	43.6093	44.0314
October	44.6620	43.0007	43.8890
November	44.1523	41.2765	43.0421
December	43.9278	41.7444	42.7966