2016 SRD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

871.8931 UGX

YEARLY LOW

434.7562 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

592.8309 UGX

2016 SRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 871.8931. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 21, dropping to 434.7562.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 437.1369 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 862.9382 to the December average rate of 488.9726, the exchange rate registered a net change of -43.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 871.8931 was down 22.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 1122.2611, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,359,466 UGX

2015 Average 4,864,127 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,173,781 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,185,684.48 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

904.1195

409.9438

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 709.4098, compared to 476.2520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 233.1578 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 709.4098

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 476.2520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 82.1133 UGX (High: 661.2890 / Low: 579.1757). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.3530 UGX (High: 482.9568 / Low: 474.6037).

April Spread (Volatile) ±82.1133

July Spread (Stable) ±8.3530

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 213.1655 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -213.1655

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 862.9382) against the same month in 2015 (average: 864.6941), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7559 (-0.20%).

2016 Avg (January) 862.9382

2015 Avg (January) 864.6941

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	871.8931	846.1987	862.9382
February	870.9914	840.2409	858.6862
March	847.9185	836.5297	842.4155
April	661.2890	579.1757	629.2500
May	597.1481	522.7925	575.4619
June	523.3610	478.6551	487.7073
July	482.9568	474.6037	478.5677
August	479.0436	458.2370	469.3061
September	470.3864	434.7562	451.1251
October	505.2094	443.0312	475.7550
November	499.6375	485.8140	493.7856
December	496.4138	481.1484	488.9726