YEARLY HIGH
523.4786 UGX
YEARLY LOW
485.7525 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
499.3470 UGX

2018 SRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 523.4786. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 485.7525.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.7261 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 487.8411 to the December average rate of 497.9936, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 523.4786 was up 6.38% compared to the 2017 peak of 492.0650, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,617,393 UGX
2017 Average 2,415,067 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,428,763 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 188,630.46 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

516.6111
484.6815
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 495.4503, compared to 503.2438 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.7935 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 495.4503
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 503.2438

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 28.3165 UGX (High: 522.2701 / Low: 493.9537). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.8072 UGX (High: 490.5597 / Low: 485.7525).

July Spread (Volatile) ±28.3165
February Spread (Stable) ±4.8072

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 10.2474 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.2474

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 513.9503) against the same month in 2017 (average: 477.5198), the exchange rate shifted by +36.4304 (+7.63%).

2018 Avg (June) 513.9503
2017 Avg (June) 477.5198

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 490.7415 485.8239 487.8411
February 490.5597 485.7525 487.3423
March 494.2287 487.5781 489.4864
April 497.5897 492.4545 494.9837
May 505.4806 496.6390 499.0978
June 523.4786 505.1773 513.9503
July 522.2701 493.9537 503.7029
August 505.5136 494.1278 500.1807
September 513.1943 504.7070 509.8440
October 512.8239 502.2140 506.6439
November 503.8360 497.0891 501.0977
December 501.4440 495.1252 497.9936