YEARLY HIGH
262.7196 UGX
YEARLY LOW
163.9576 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
205.9844 UGX

2021 SRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 262.7196. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 11, dropping to 163.9576.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 98.7620 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 260.7875 to the December average rate of 167.8615, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 262.7196 was down 50.02% compared to the 2020 peak of 525.6525, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,313,598 UGX
2020 Average 2,168,167 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 819,788 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 493,810.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

270.3526
155.5722
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 245.5574, compared to 166.4115 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 79.1459 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 245.5574
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 166.4115

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 85.5403 UGX (High: 250.6351 / Low: 165.0948). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0498 UGX (High: 259.1950 / Low: 258.1452).

June Spread (Volatile) ±85.5403
March Spread (Stable) ±1.0498

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 63.4926 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -63.4926

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 260.7875) against the same month in 2020 (average: 493.2263), the exchange rate shifted by -232.4388 (-47.13%).

2021 Avg (January) 260.7875
2020 Avg (January) 493.2263

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 262.7196 258.2494 260.7875
February 259.9077 258.5806 259.0786
March 259.1950 258.1452 258.7077
April 258.8290 252.6421 256.2163
May 253.9818 249.4150 251.0234
June 250.6351 165.0948 187.5308
July 170.5721 165.6974 167.8525
August 166.0533 164.7066 165.3933
September 166.3735 164.4722 165.1372
October 169.7168 164.8448 166.9592
November 166.5389 163.9576 165.2652
December 182.7211 164.3549 167.8615