2014 SZL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

252.2794 UGX

YEARLY LOW

220.2436 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

239.4639 UGX

2014 SZL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SZL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 26, valuing the pair at 252.2794. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 220.2436.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 32.0359 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 230.4952 to the December average rate of 240.5147, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 252.2794 was down 20.78% compared to the 2013 peak of 318.4677, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SZL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,261,397 UGX

2013 Average 1,345,916 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,101,218 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 160,179.34 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

248.9437

222.6197

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SZL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 235.8501, compared to 243.0777 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.2275 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 235.8501

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 243.0777

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 19.5559 UGX (High: 239.8402 / Low: 220.2842). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.2626 UGX (High: 245.1364 / Low: 239.8738).

January Spread (Volatile) ±19.5559

May Spread (Stable) ±5.2626

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 6.1530 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.1530

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 246.5464) against the same month in 2013 (average: 247.3974), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8509 (-0.34%).

2014 Avg (November) 246.5464

2013 Avg (November) 247.3974

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	239.8402	220.2842	230.4952
February	235.4888	220.2436	224.8134
March	241.1744	232.3343	235.8153
April	243.6935	235.6610	239.4517
May	245.1364	239.8738	243.0078
June	246.1289	237.6253	241.5174
July	250.1114	243.2232	246.7500
August	247.3007	241.7905	244.6904
September	244.9241	235.0233	238.5374
October	248.4359	233.7241	241.4269
November	252.2794	240.1808	246.5464
December	251.5366	237.0826	240.5147