2016 SZL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

268.0653 UGX

YEARLY LOW

205.3516 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

233.2515 UGX

2016 SZL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SZL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 268.0653. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 205.3516.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 62.7137 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 211.7936 to the December average rate of 259.4717, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 268.0653 was down 4.89% compared to the 2015 peak of 281.8595, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SZL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,340,326 UGX

2015 Average 1,269,191 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,026,758 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 313,568.60 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

264.2395

207.0258

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SZL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 219.7010, compared to 246.8021 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 27.1011 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 219.7010

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 246.8021

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 20.7671 UGX (High: 233.8656 / Low: 213.0984). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 12.2872 UGX (High: 241.9529 / Low: 229.6656).

May Spread (Volatile) ±20.7671

July Spread (Stable) ±12.2872

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 10.0814 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.0814

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 259.4717) against the same month in 2015 (average: 223.5229), the exchange rate shifted by +35.9488 (+16.08%).

2016 Avg (December) 259.4717

2015 Avg (December) 223.5229

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	218.1633	205.3516	211.7936
February	224.9017	208.5448	216.9714
March	227.6540	212.2171	218.7873
April	233.6550	220.4316	228.7496
May	233.8656	213.0984	218.6682
June	233.3247	214.9537	223.2358
July	241.9529	229.6656	234.7320
August	252.9553	233.6530	245.4211
September	250.0214	231.0401	240.2720
October	254.7603	239.4503	246.2372
November	262.8215	245.9621	254.6784
December	268.0653	252.1161	259.4717