YEARLY HIGH
276.1202 UGX
YEARLY LOW
239.2286 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
256.7571 UGX

2019 SZL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SZL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 276.1202. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 239.2286.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 36.8917 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 266.8663 to the December average rate of 254.9253, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 276.1202 was down 12.48% compared to the 2018 peak of 315.4770, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SZL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,380,601 UGX
2018 Average 1,414,963 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,196,143 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 184,458.26 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

269.1009
242.2854
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SZL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 262.1496, compared to 251.3646 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.7850 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 262.1496
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 251.3646

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 21.2017 UGX (High: 260.4302 / Low: 239.2286). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.1995 UGX (High: 266.1567 / Low: 259.9572).

August Spread (Volatile) ±21.2017
July Spread (Stable) ±6.1995

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 18.7558 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -18.7558

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 266.8663) against the same month in 2018 (average: 298.4358), the exchange rate shifted by -31.5695 (-10.58%).

2019 Avg (January) 266.8663
2018 Avg (January) 298.4358

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 276.1202 256.5655 266.8663
February 275.8664 259.1844 266.5212
March 264.7994 252.1412 258.0150
April 268.9681 258.2072 264.4363
May 265.6445 256.5874 261.3092
June 261.4108 250.1657 255.7495
July 266.1567 259.9572 263.2758
August 260.4302 239.2286 244.5200
September 252.2603 242.0075 247.6687
October 255.3986 240.4606 248.1621
November 252.6677 245.0497 249.6358
December 261.2424 248.6156 254.9253